By Engr. Gbenga Komolafe

It gives me great pleasure and honour to be at this symposium and to deliver a keynote speech at this very important petroleum industry event: Annual International Conference and Exhibition of the Nigerian Association of Petroleum Explorationist (NAPE) holding at Eko Hotels & Suites, Victoria Island, Lagos, on the 16th of November 2021.

Incidentally, since my assumption of office less than a month ago, this conference is one event that I have eagerly accepted to deliver a keynote speech, and this is because of the critical importance attached to your association as a major stakeholder in the development of the upstream petroleum industry. It is remarkable that Nigerian Association of Petroleum Explorationist (NAPE) has played a key role in leading policy discussions in the upstream oil and gas value chain. The annual conference of NAPE has grown to become an important international event in the petroleum industry and given the challenges confronting the industry, during and after the pandemic, the theme of this year 2021 annual conference, ‘’Petroleum Exploration and Production in a new World: What Next After the Global Crisis’’ is quite apt and timely.

Historical Perspectives: 50s to 202os
In the 60s, exploration licenses in onshore and offshore areas adjoining the Niger Delta were extended to several companies after the oil discovery made by Shell-BP. Crude oil export began at 5,000 barrels of oil per day, culminating in 2.2 million barrels per day in the 90s, while the oil and gas reserves were 25billion barrels and 166 TCF respectively. With the dominance of the oil industry by the multinational oil firms, production was sustained at this rate and upstream activities were predominant in the Niger Delta. In the 2020s, enhanced participation of independents and indigenous players began with extension of exploration and production activities to Benin and Anambra basins.

Consequently, there was increase in reserves to about thirty-seven 37 billion barrels (oil & condensate) and over 200TCF of natural gas respectively. This makes Nigeria a big player in the global petroleum industry. However, oil production in Nigeria has declined to an average of 1.6 million barrels per day in 2021. This decline in production could be attributed to theft, insecurity, aging facilities, decline in exploration and production enhancement initiatives. As the upstream technical and commercial regulator, we are committed to addressing these issues to increase our reserves to 40 billion barrels and raise our production to three (3) million barrels per day through the following measures:
• Initiation of Public Private Partnership (PPP) involving the security agencies, private operators and other stakeholders to address the challenging issues of crude oil theft, sabotage & pipeline vandalism. Collaborative efforts between operators, communities and the deployment of state-of-the-art technology to monitor pipelines in remote areas is on course. Already, as a commission, we have commenced consultation with relevant stakeholders towards the achievement of these objectives.
• A More aggressive policy on routine Asset Integrity Management to cub crude leakages and spills caused by aging facilities will be adopted. An initiative to reduce the cost of production while also benchmarking cost across terrain is ongoing.
• We are making provisions to incentivize drilling targets at deeper horizons and to also provide Guidelines to ensure seismic acquisition design to image deep plays.
• Attractive incentive is being made to encourage multiclient and speculative data companies to acquire state-of-the-art data in open acreage to facilitate exploration activities.

Nigerian Upstream and Impact of the Pandemic

The pandemic created an unprecedented global crisis that caused countries and companies to experience a reaction, resilience, and adjustment for a new reality. The upstream petroleum sector was not left out on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, which did not only affect the global oil market, but also, endangered the health and safety of the environment and its workforce. The effect of the pandemic on our crude oil and gas production was evident in the shut-in of oil and gas wells, deferred production, declaration of force majeure, and suspension of projects. Without a paradigm shift in our exploration and production value chain, it will be very difficult to keep the industry afloat. More than ever before, the industry is plagued by investor skepticism, high level competition, climate change and clamor for clean environment. While oil and gas will remain predominant in the energy mix even in the next decade, the question arises on how to remain profitable in the new world. Moreover, how fast the industry recovers will be determined by oil and gas demand and supply outcomes, as well as adaptive actions of all stakeholders including Government, Regulators, and investors alike. At the peak of the pandemic, we were able to explore and take advantage of some vital online platforms that were hitherto underutilized. This invariably helped in optimizing the value to our stakeholders. A case in point is the application of ‘Virtual tools’ in our monitoring and regulatory functions. With these tools, we held virtual meetings wherein the activities of projects were thoroughly reviewed, identified challenges discussed and solutions proffered. Most of these meetings were held with project stakeholders in different locations across the globe, thereby saving the pecuniary loss associated with travel logistics that would ordinarily have been added to the OPEX of the project.

Assigning tasks virtually was another procedure that improved the speed of job delivery, seeing that officers could perform their jobs and revert to supervisors in good time, irrespective of their location. During this period, we have had to review various request and applications from various stakeholders. Ultimately, this approach helped in reducing the operating and overhead cost which invariably contributed to reducing the cost of production. In a sense, the pandemic created a new way of working to keep business afloat.

PIA & Investment Opportunities
For oil and gas to entice the needed investment, there must be an attractive fiscal framework, which Petroleum Industry Act (PIA), 2021, seeks to address. The PIA, 2021 is positioned to effectively stimulate necessary investments in the industry, improve investor confidence, address major community issues, and generally transform the face of the industry as we currently know it.
The key objective of the Act is to ensure global standard in administration, accountability, and foster a conducive business environment for petroleum operations.
• Under the Act, award of oil and gas assets henceforth will be based on a fair, transparent, and competitive bidding process which is consistent with global industry best practices. • 30% of profit oil will be remitted to Frontier Exploration fund for development of frontier assets. This will further enhance exploration activities in the country.
• The fiscal provisions reflects a progressive regime, which will ultimately attract investment into the Nigerian petroleum industry, optimize government take while securing a fair return on investments.
• With regards to the challenges hitherto bedevilling Host Community relations, the PIA 2021 introduced the Petroleum Host Community Development (PHCD) fund to enhance security of investments and promote peaceful and amicable co-existence between asset owners and host communities. The Petroleum Host Community Development entails creation of community trusts to stimulate local projects, as well as transfer of existing community projects.
NUPRC and Regulatory Approach in the

Energy Transition Regime

There is concerted effort by major stakeholders to secure commitment to limit greenhouse gas emission. The global energy industry is progressively transiting from an energy mix dominated by fossil fuels in the last two decade to renewables. The recently held 26th Conference of the Parties (COP26) culminated in Thirty-one (31) statements covering various factors geared towards the achievement of the Paris Agreement and other protocols to limit global average temperature to 1.5oC. Among these statements is the pledge by developed nations to end offshore financing of “unabated” oil and gas projects, but with the exception of projects that include carbon capture and sequestration technology. To this end, NUPRC as a business enabler is committed to following initiatives that will ensure compliance with the above international objectives on clean energy:

. To aggressively implement the Nigerian Gas Flare Commercialization Programme (NGFCP)

• Ensure that all approved Field Development Plans (FDPs) incorporate full gas utilization and monetization programs

• Introduce regulations that will ensure new E&P projects includes decarbonization elements to further attract foreign investments

• Collaborate with NNPC Limited and the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority to encourage investment in refining and gas-based industries

• Collaborate with counterpart regulatory agencies within the SubSaharan region in order to create strong alliances that ensure sustainability and demand for our crude oil and refined products.

Against the challenge posed by energy transition, the regulatory focus of NUPRC will be targeted towards enabling sustained upstream investments.

Conclusion

As an umbrella body of Petroleum Explorationist in Nigeria, NAPE is therefore enjoined to take advantage of government incentivized environment to advise on policy initiatives that will add value to the upstream business. As a 21st century regulator, the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory commission is positioned to provide initiatives that is aimed at entrenching transparency, efficiency and accountability which is characterized by; value driven performance, highly motivated workforce and stout corporate image. To continue to improve in our technical and commercial regulation, of the upstream petroleum industry in Nigeria, we are open to new innovations and ideas that will enhance our operations. The use of artificial intelligence, virtual and machine learning in exploration and production, as well as innovations in remote sensing techniques that minimizes environment impact should be part of our expectations going forward.

This conference is therefore timely as it will provide a platform for stakeholders in the upstream petroleum industry to share knowledge, network and collaborate in the development of the upstream petroleum industry in Nigeria. 6 | P a g e On behalf of the management of the Nigeria Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission, we welcome you to this Eminent gathering and wish you a fruitful deliberation.
. Being the Address by the Commission Chief Executive, Nigeria Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission, Engr. Gbenga Komolafe, FNSE at the 39th Annual International Conference and Exhibition of the Nigerian Association of Petroleum Explorationist (NAPE) Annual International Conference and Exhibition holding at Eko Hotels & Suites, Victoria Island, Lagos, on the 16TH of November 2021.